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No need to sift through endless data – we’ve done the heavy lifting for you. Whether you’re hunting for value on PrizePicks or BetMGM, we’ve got your back with consistently sharp (and free) MLB strikeout props.
Best MLB Strikeout Props Today: Friday, Sept. 13
It’s the last month of the MLB season, and some weird things can happen. Some teams are battling for the postseason while others are serving up auditions to their Double-A players.
That’s why I’m scaling everything down to win 0.5 units for all MLB props in the season’s last month.
Rockies SP Kyle Freeland Over 3.5 Strikeouts (-114)
- Freeland has gone over in 9 of his last 12 overall.
- Over in 5 of his last 7 games.
- Odds are -165 at BetMGM, -140 at FD, -150 at DK.
- We can get it at -114 on BetRivers.
Where to bet: Kyle Freeland over 3.5 strikeouts | -114 at BetRivers
Overall Results
Year to Date: 2-1 | +0.45
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The Ultimate Guide to MLB Strikeout Props
MLB strikeout props involve placing bets on whether a pitcher will achieve more or fewer strikeouts than a set number. Bettors analyze a pitcher’s past performance, current form, and opponent’s strikeout tendencies. Oddsmakers set a number, and bettors choose “over” or “under.”
For example, if the line is set at 5.5 strikeouts for a pitcher, betting “over” means predicting that the pitcher will record six or more strikeouts. Betting “under” means expecting five or fewer strikeouts.
The Ever-Expanding Menu of Pitcher Props
Strikeout props have become increasingly popular with the rise of legal sports betting and daily fantasy sports. Initially, betting options were limited, but the demand for specific MLB pitcher props brought strikeout props to the forefront.
Legal sportsbooks in the United States began offering these props widely, allowing more fans to engage with the game on a deeper level. Today, strikeout props are among the most popular MLB player props, often featured prominently on betting sites like BetMGM.
Betting strategies have evolved, with bettors now shopping around for the best lines and odds. Different sportsbooks might offer varying lines and odds for the same pitcher, providing opportunities for finding value bets.
Techniques like this have made strikeout props a dynamic and exciting aspect of MLB betting.
Finding Winning Strikeout Props
Understanding strikeout props requires examining specific statistics and metrics. Analyzing these factors can help identify the best MLB strikeout props today, providing a strategic edge.
Key Statistics and Analytics
Key statistics play a vital role in predicting strikeout props. First, K/9 (strikeouts per nine innings) helps in evaluating how often a pitcher strikes out batters. A higher K/9 indicates better strikeout potential.
Comparing a pitcher’s K/9 against the opposing team’s strikeout rate can reveal strikeout potential, or at least a baseline expectation.
From here, projection systems and historical data offer deeper insights. Projections often consider recent form and matchups, while historical data provides context on consistency and reliability.
Pitcher Prop Metrics
When analyzing pitcher performance for strikeout props, focus on recent performance trends. This includes the number of strikeouts in recent games, which can indicate current form. Pitch count also affects outcomes; pitchers with higher pitch counts have more opportunities for strikeouts.
Another crucial metric is pitch type effectiveness. Some pitchers have specific pitches, like a slider or fastball, that result in higher strikeout rates. For example, a pitcher with a highly effective slider might have a higher probability of strikeouts against teams that struggle with that pitch type.
Home and away splits can impact performance too. Some pitchers perform significantly better or worse depending on the venue. By combining these metrics, bettors can make informed decisions on the best MLB strikeout props today.
Finding Value in MLB Strikeout Props
In MLB strikeout props, finding value means pinpointing opportunities where the odds are favorable. Pickers should analyze pitcher stats, including recent performance and (to some respect) historical data against specific teams and even specific batters.
Comparing Sportsbooks
Understanding different sportsbooks can also provide an edge. For example, variance in strikeout prop lines between sportsbooks can be exploited. One page may list a pitcher at 5.5 strikeouts while another lists the same pitcher at 6.5 strikeouts but with different odds.
Finding DFS Pick’Em Value
Also, for those playing DFS Pick’em Games, you can compare the sportsbook odds against the implied odds of the strikeout props on DFS sites. This essentially lets the sportsbooks show you which DFS picks have value.
