Welcome to our Best NRFI Picks Today! If you’re looking for the top “No Run First Inning” bets for every day of the season, you’ve hit the jackpot.
But what sets our NRFI props apart from the rest?
For starters, we don’t just slap some stats up and leave you to figure it out. And we’re definitely not like those Twitter handicappers who pull a NRFI pick ‘from where the sun don’t shine’ and pitch it to you as the “mortal lock nuke of the century.”
Nope, that’s not our style.
Instead, we offer consistent, data-driven NRFI picks daily with better odds of cashing than the odds imply. We blend the best +EV models with the keen insights of experienced bettors to serve you the best NRFI picks today.
Best NRFI Picks Today: Tuesday, Sept. 17
Pirates at Cardinals (+100)
Start Time: 7:45 pm ET
- It’s late in the season, and we have reduced our wager size for everything to win 0.5 units.
- PIT RHP Bailey Falter is 17-8 to the NRFI.
- STL RHP Lance Lynn is 15-7 to the NRFI.
- PIT ranks 25th in first inning scoring rate.
- STL has not scored a first inning run in 3 straight and 8 of last 10.
- STL ranks 29th in first inning scoring rate.
- Best odds are -113 at FanDuel.
Where to bet: Pirates at Cardinals NRFI | -113 at FanDuel
2024 Record: 4-2 | +0.90
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NRFI Meaning
NRFI stands for “no run first inning.” It’s a type of MLB prop bet where the bettor predicts that neither team will score in the first inning. This means that both teams cannot score in the first inning for this prop to be successful.
NRFI Betting Strategy Tips
Look at Park Factors and Weather
Different ballparks influence how many runs are likely to be scored, especially in the first inning. Some parks are more hitter-friendly, increasing the chances of home runs and early runs.
For instance, warm temps can help the ball travel farther, just like strong winds can. It’s easier to get a run in places known for high offense. On the other side, parks that are known for being pitcher-friendly make it tougher to score runs early.
Evaluate Lineup Strength
A team’s lineup can heavily affect the chances of scoring in the first inning. The stronger the hitters at the top of the lineup, the harder it is for the opposing pitcher to get through the inning without giving up a run.
Pay attention to who is batting first through third (and if there are any big-name injuries), as these slots are critical.
Track Pitcher NRFI Stats
The matchup between pitchers and hitters matters a lot. Some pitchers are better against certain types of hitters. For instance, right-handed pitchers who are good against right-handed hitters will likely have an edge if the opposing team’s top batters are righties.
Also, there are some pitchers that are better than others to start a game. These are important NRFI stats to consider before making a pick.
Look at Team First Inning Run Rates
Some teams are strong overall but struggle to score in the first inning. TeamRankings provides stats that show how often teams score in the first inning.
This data is key because even good offenses can start slow. For example, the Giants might have a solid overall run rate but score in the first inning less frequently. This kind of information can help you make better NRFI bets.
