Here we go with our three best NFL season-long player props for the 2024 season. Whether you are a fantasy football enthusiast or a sports bettor, the season-long markets are fascinating to look at.
For example, Giants rookie WR Malik Nabers has a receiving total of 200 yards below fellow first-year receiver Marvin Harrison Jr. of the Cardinals. That’s a pretty wide margin!
That’s one potential angle we found when searching between FanDuel, DraftKings, and Dabble Fantasy. Let’s break down the value below!
3 Best NFL Season Long Player Props (2024)
Lines and odds are current as of Tuesday, Aug. 20.
Seahawks QB Geno Smith Under 3425.5 Passing Yards (-112)
Smith was excellent in 2022 with 4,282 passing yards, but that number fell to 3,624 last season. I know what you’re about to say: that still hits the over for this prop!
But here’s the scoop. I’m not sure Smith will start 15+ games for the Seahawks. There’s a new coaching staff in town, and they brought in Sam Howell from the Washington Commanders. Also, Smith is dealing with a knee issue to begin camp.
The prop of 3425.5 yards puts him in the same territory as Aaron Rodgers, Caleb Williams, and Kyler Murray — which I don’t believe is warranted.
Given the potential for injury, inconsistency, or flat-out benching — I’m taking the under.
Where to bet: Geno Smith under 3425.5 passing yards | -112 at FanDuel Sportsbook
Giants WR Malik Nabers Over 875.5 Receiving Yards (-112)
We have a lot of great Fantasy Football Team Names that revolve around the Giants rookie. Maybe I should steal one for the subtitle of this article?
The preseason hype is unreal, but I believe Nabers has a legitimate chance to crack 1,000 yards in his first NFL season.
Despite Mr. Jones being straight cheeks, all in on Nabers.
The guy is just amazing at what he does.
— Brandon Blanco (@BrandonBlancoFF) July 25, 2024
Pessimists will point to his quarterback, Daniel Jones, who could have a tough time feeding him the ball. Still, Nabers will dominate the targets on a Giants team that will be trailing in many games while forced to throw the football.
The LSU prospect is an elite talent with more than enough volume to cross this stat threshold. I’m buying.
Where to bet: Malik Nabers over 875.5 receiving yards | -112 at FanDuel Sportsbook
Chargers QB Justin Herbert Under 3575.5 Passing Yards (-112)
John Harbaugh is now the head coach of the Los Angeles Chargers, and I’m expecting them to come close to leading the NFL in run play % because of that.
So Herbert will see much less volume than usual, which already lowers his ceiling.
On top of that, there’s injury concern to contend with, as Herbert missed four games last season. He’s already dealing with a foot issue in training camp, and it’s the type of injury that could rear its head in the season.
Put it all together, and this prop sings to the under.
Where to bet: Justin Herbert under 3575.5 passing yards | -112 at DraftKings Sportsbook
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As mentioned earlier, these picks are available on Dabble Fantasy (as of August 20, 2024). If you get all three correct, you will 6x your stake.
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