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We get it. You’re drowning in a sea of stats and hot takes. Well, consider us your life raft. We’re all about slicing through the noise and serving the prime NFL player prop cuts.
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Best NFL Prop Bets Today: Week 2
Here we go with our favorite NFL player props for each day of Week 2. We are going to list our top NFL player props here with the analysis lower in the article or linked to the appropriate page.
TL,DR – Give Me The Props!
- David Montgomery TD -115 at Fliff via Anytime TD Props ✅
- Breece Hall TD -125 at Fliff via Anytime TD Props ✅
- Kyren Williams TD -145 at Fliff via Anytime TD Props ✅
- Saquon Barkley TD -125 at Fliff (MNF) via Anytime TD Props
- Jordan Mason TD -135 at Fliff via Anytime TD Props ✅
- Isiah Pacheco TD -130 at Fliff via Anytime TD Props 👎
Yardage Props
- Wan’Dale Robinson Over 36.5 Rec Yd: -110 at Bet365 👎
- Rachaad White Over 23.5 Rec Yd: -110 at Bet365 👎
- Isiah Pacheco Over 67.5 Rush Yd: -110 at BetMGM ✅
- Aaron Jones Over 16.5 Rec Yd: -110 at FanDuel ✅
- Jahan Dotson Over 28.5 Receiving Yards: -115 at Fliff
MNF: Eagles WR Jahan Dotson Over 28.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
With AJ Brown out, Jahan Dotson is set to step into his spot on the outside.
While DeVonta Smith will likely be the most targeted Eagles WR, he primarily operates from the slot, leaving Dotson to take on Brown’s outside role.
Given these factors, this line is set low—take the over!
Giants WR Wan’Dale Robinson Over 36.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Robinson saw 12 targets last week with 6 receptions for 44 yards.
His depth of target was very low, but that’s the appeal – he’s a checkdown option for Daniel Jones, a quarterback that loves checkdown options.
The Commanders gave up the most fantasy points to wide receiver last season, and the Buccaneers roasted them in the passing game last week.
Bucs RB Rachaad White Over 23.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
This is a nice matchup against the Lions, and game flow could force White to be involved in the pass game once again.
He went over this with 4 catches on 5 targets for 36 yards against Detroit in the playoffs last year. Last week in the season opener, he caught all 6 targets for 75 receiving yards.
White averaged 32.7 receiving yards last season and has went over 23.5 yards in 6 of his last 8 games.
Chiefs RB Isiah Pacheco Over 67.5 Rush Yards (-110)
Patriots RB Rhamondre Stevenson shredded the Bengals for 125 rushing yards last week. Now it’s Pacheco’s turn.
Pacheco is no stranger to running on the Bengals, as he took 15 carries for 130 rushing yards against Cincinnati late last season.
Game flow should be on his side, and this is a nice spot to take the over.
Vikings RB Aaron Jones Over 16.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Minnesota checks in as a home underdog in a tough matchup against the 49ers.
However, San Francisco allowed the 5th most receptions to opposing running backs last season.
I’m expecting the Vikings to turn into pass heavy mode while trailing in the second half. That should give Jones plenty of looks, and he could hit this on just one or two receptions.
Check Back For More NFL Player Props
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NFL Player Props Guide: 2024
Looking to get up to speed on NFL player props. Here’s what you need to know:
What Are NFL Player Props?
NFL player props focus on individual player performance rather than overall game outcomes. Think of it as making predictions on a player’s stat line.
For example, you might bet on Patrick Mahomes throwing for over 300 yards, or Derrick Henry to score a rushing touchdown.
Some popular NFL player props include:
- Quarterback passing yards
- Running back rushing yards
- Wide receiver/tight end receptions Or receiving yards
- Anytime TD Scorer
- First TD Scorer (who will score first TD of the game)
Other NFL prop bets are:
- Over/Under Player Rushing Attempts
- Over/Under Interceptions Thrown
- Over/Under Kicker Extra Points (Or Field Goals) Made
Do NFL Props Get Voided if a Player Gets Injured?
The answer is no. If a player takes the field at any point in the game and then gets hurt, the prop stands.
This can be brutal sometimes, especially if you take the “over” on a player’s yards and their day is cut short. Imagine betting on Saquon Barkley’s rushing yards, and he tweaks his ankle on the first play. Tough break, but that’s the game.
However, if the player doesn’t even step on the field, most sportsbooks will void the bet. This is if the player is ruled out prior to the game or doesn’t see any snaps for some reason. Of course, you need to check the fine print of the place you are playing at for full details.
Are NFL Player Props Good Wagers?
It depends. There are so many NFL player prop categories that you can really lock into a market and use specific knowledge to outsmart the books. That’s what we try to do here at Best Props Today.
Although the operators are getting sharper, it’s difficult for some of them to set accurate prop lines for hundreds of players every single week or gameday. From here, you can pick off the softer lines and make a decent return in the process.
Remember, though, no pick is a sure thing. Even the best NFL prop predictors have their cold streaks. Variance can take hold at any time, too.
Do NFL Prop Bets Go into Overtime?
Most player props include overtime stats, unless the rules of the operator (or statement on the betslip) specifically say otherwise.
Because of this, yards and touchdowns gained in overtime usually count.
For example, say you take Josh Allen to throw for over 300 yards. He’s sitting at 290 at the end of regulation, and the game goes to overtime. Suddenly, that 15-yard pass in OT makes you a winner.
However, don’t count on overtime to save your bet. It’s like playing with house money – a nice bonus if it happens, but not something to rely on.
How to Find Value in NFL Player Props?
Finding value in NFL props can be considered an art and a science. Here are some items to keep in mind:
1. Study Recent Performance: Look at how the player has performed in the last few games. What are the subtleties within that? For example, has Lamar Jackson been throwing more lately, with his team coming from behind? Is that likely to happen again?
2. Analyze Matchups: This is huge. Understanding matchup potential and how that ties into gamescript can help. This is where the “art” comes in, and we try to explain this with most props we write up at Best Props Today.
3. Team News and Injuries: Is the starting left tackle out? That could spell trouble for the quarterback’s passing yards prop. Is the WR1 injured, meaning more targets for the WR2? Stay on top of this stuff.
5. Shop for the Best Odds: We stress this in every write-up. Different sportsbooks often have different lines for the same prop. Shopping around can literally be the difference between a win and a loss. It can also represent significant gains over time.
6. Consider Game Script: We touched on this before, but it’s worth mentioning separately. Think about how the game might play out. If a team is likely to be playing from behind, their quarterback’s passing yards prop might be juicy.
7. Watch for Changing Roles: Has a running back been getting more catches lately? Is a wide receiver being used differently with a new offensive coordinator? Spot these trends before the oddsmakers adjust.
Check Back for the Best NFL Prop Bets Today
Remember, the key to successful prop betting is thorough research and disciplined bankroll management. Don’t go chasing losses, and never bet more than you can afford to lose.
Stay tuned for the best NFL player props today and throughout the season. We’re here to help you navigate this exciting world of player props, bringing you top-value NFL props week after week.
