Finding the best NBA player props today can be a nightmare. Let me guess: you’ve run into spotty info, projection overload, or “trust me bro” tips from social media yappers.
At Best Props Today, we’re calling BS on that. We do the heavy lifting to serve up top NBA props that actually make sense. Clear, accurate, daily updates – no fluff, no filler.
Just the best NBA props today – and straightforward ways to boost your bankroll. Because that’s what you’re here for, right?
Best NBA Player Props Today: Wednesday, Nov. 20
Here are our favorite NBA player prop bets tonight:
Warriors PG Stephen Curry Over 21.5 Points
This is a special at Betr Picks, with the line discounted from 26.5 points to 21.5.
You can sign up for Betr Picks below to take advantage of this promo, as they run NBA discounts like this for ALL USERS every day!
Thunder SF Jalen Williams Over 28.5 Pts + Reb (-122)
We took this last night at 29.5 PR, and now the line is even better.
Williams has gone over in four of five games without Chet Holmgren, holding a 32.8 average in that span.
Now he’ll face a Portland team that ranks 26th in defensive efficiency and 24th in rebound rate.
Where to place: Jalen Williams Over 28.5 PR | -122 at NoVig
Blazers PG Anfernee Simons Under 18.5 Points (-120)
Simons is questionable for tonight’s game with an illness. If he plays, there’s a good chance he falls under 18.5 points.
First off, he’s dealing with a chest injury and illness that has kept him sidelined for over a week. There’s a chance that affects his minutes or performance.
Also, the matchup is tough against an OKC team that has allowed the 9th fewest points to the PG position.
Simons averages only 16.3 PPG this season, and he has gone under this mark in three straight. Adding to that, he has fallen short of 18.5 points in three of his last four vs. OKC despite seeing full minutes in each.
Where to place: Anfernee Simons under 18.5 points | -120 at Fliff
Results
YTD: 32-23 | +$544.00
*Assumes risking $100 for every plus-money prop, and to win $100 on all others.
*Promos and discounts do not go on the official record.
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Where Can You Place NBA Player Props in the US?
Here are our top options for placing NBA player picks in the US, depending if sports betting is legal or not in your location.
No Sports Betting? Check Out Fantasy Player Prop Sites
- Dabble Fantasy: Better payouts than PrizePicks and they give you $25 FREE (no deposit) with this Dabble Fantasy Promo code “BEST”.
- Betr Picks: The new DFS app on the block. Great selection of NBA player picks. Offers wild 1000x payout potential. Get up to a $200 deposit match here.
- Sleeper Fantasy: Make your own NBA player pick combos by tweaking lines. Get up to a $100 deposit match through this link.
- PrizePicks & Underdog Fantasy: Solid mainstays in the fantasy prop contests world.
Social Sportsbook: Legal in 42 of 50 States
Our favorite option in this category is Fliff Sportsbook, an online sportsbook with a sweepstakes model legal in 42 states.
- Don’t have Fliff? You can join for free here.
Sports Betting Allowed In Your Location?
Sports betting legal in your state? Lucky you. Hit up the usual suspects:
- FanDuel Sportsbook
- DraftKings Sportsbook
- BetMGM
- Bet365 (sneaky good for juicy NBA prop betting lines)
Ultimate NBA Prop Betting Guide & Tools
Alright, let’s break down how to dominate the NBA player props game:
Grasping the Basics
NBA player props are all about individual performance. Forget team wins, moneyline, spreads, game props, and other forms of prop betting.
We are focusing on the type of prop bet that measures a single player’s points, rebounds, assists, and all that good stuff. It’s like fantasy basketball on steroids.
Popular prop bets include:
- LeBron James: Over/under 24.5 points
- Nikola Jokic: Over/under 12.5 rebounds
- Luka Doncic: Over/under 9.5 assists
An individual prop bet like this can focus on the NBA’s biggest stars (like above), but there will even be lines for bench players.
Prop betting wagers can extend to stats like 3-pointers made, steals, and even blocks props. There are other detailed player props like first basket props or first team basket.
Other team prop betting options focus on how many points or 3-pointers and entire team will score.
3 NBA Prop Factors to Watch
- Player Performance Metrics: Recent form, consistency, and advanced stats like PER. Don’t just look at the box score – dig deeper. We’ll outline what and where to find these stats in our prop betting guide below.
- Matchups: How does a player stack up against their opponent? Some guys feast against certain teams and get shut down by others.
- Injury Reports: A star player out? That could mean more opportunities for others. Stay on top of who’s in and out for player prop betting purposes.
We’ll run through these types of prop betting stats and factors in the research section below.
Smart Prop Picking Strategies
- Bankroll Management: Don’t bet the farm on one prop. Stick to 1-5% of your bankroll per bet. It’s a marathon, not a sprint.
- Shop for the Best Lines: Different books (or fantasy apps), different odds. Do your homework and find the best value across prop betting markets.
- Understand the Odds: Whether it’s fractional, decimal, or moneyline, know what you’re looking at on the sportsbook menu. Better odds = better payouts.
- Risk Assessment: Don’t just chase the big paydays. Evaluate the risk vs. reward for each bet.
6 Essential Tools for NBA Prop Betting Research
If you’re serious about crushing NBA prop betting wagers, you need the right tools. Here are some of the top FREE resources we use to find the best NBA prop bets:
NBA.com Advanced Stats
Link: https://www.nba.com/stats/leaders
This is the big daddy of NBA stats. We’re talking:
- Potential assists
- Rebound chances
- Team strengths and weaknesses
- Pull-up vs. catch-and-shoot 3’s
The first two in that category are the most helpful. You can toggle to advanced stats to find these.
There’s a learning curve at first, but you’ll get familiar with where the stats are and how to read them in no time.
Breaking NBA Prop News: Underdog Fantasy
Link: https://x.com/Underdog__NBA
Follow Underdog Fantasy NBA on Twitter and turn those notifications ON.
Jaren Jackson Jr. (hamstring) ruled out for season opener on Wednesday.
— Underdog NBA (@Underdog__NBA) October 21, 2024
When a player gets ruled out, value opens up elsewhere. Stay ahead of the curve.
RotoGrinders CourtIQ
Link: https://rotogrinders.com/courtiq
Getting your news from Underdog Fantasy and then using CourtIQ to determine what that news means is a good practice.
This tool is a game-changer when players get ruled in or out. Want to know how many points, rebounds, or assists a player averages with others on or off the court? Boom. This is your ticket to beating the books.
Historical Stats & More: StatMuse
Link: https://statmuse.com
Do you want to know how Karl-Anthony Towns has fared against Joel Embiid in their meetings over the past five years? Just search for it on Statmuse.
You can also quickly find stats like “LeBron James stats this season with Anthony Davis” and compare that to “LeBron James stats this season without Anthony Davis.”
You can also search “Anthony Edwards vs. Suns game log,” it will pull up all of his career games with full stat info in a neat list.
Overall, this is a go-to source for historical matchup data and more.
Find Plus Matchups: TeamRankings
Link: https://teamrankings.com/nba/stats
The favorites here are points in the paint allowed, team rebound rate, and possessions per game.
So looking at the 2023-24 data above, we would target rebounds over for well-aligned players against these teams.
This helps when looking at big man props and rebound totals or spotting high-scoring game potential and an appealing defensive matchup.
Analyze Defense vs. Position: HoopsStats
Link: http://www.hoopsstats.com/
Who’s soft against power forwards? Which team bleeds points to shooting guards? This site breaks it down by position.
Remember, NBA positions are fluid, so use this as a guide, not gospel.
